Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.632763 1.903152 2.184192 2.496548 2.832512 3.181628 3.570482
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.175071 1.543750 1.950670 2.426367 2.961014 3.537874 4.202073
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.931916 1.342933 1.817182 2.391163 3.054850 3.787633 4.647946
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.779737 1.225090 1.759931 2.426623 3.215505 4.102389 5.159162
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.651167 1.115556 1.695233 2.437618 3.334117 4.357680 5.592503
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.526636 0.993943 1.602082 2.402761 3.389237 4.532342 5.927497
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.484615 0.978043 1.638342 2.523233 3.627126 4.917862 6.504182
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.450350 0.968073 1.678832 2.646421 3.866589 5.304288 7.081616
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.425356 0.968084 1.730203 2.781779 4.119963 5.706817 7.678014
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.409838 0.980123 1.796451 2.935443 4.395634 6.136090 8.306438
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.375847 0.958747 1.813771 3.023356 4.588114 6.464820 8.815899
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.327048 0.907059 1.784411 3.046645 4.697216 6.691377 9.203104
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.251980 0.803230 1.678904 2.971336 4.688556 6.785414 9.447009
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.188238 0.707039 1.577169 2.896202 4.677275 6.875139 9.686125
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.143383 0.636005 1.505931 2.856541 4.705929 7.008629 9.972441
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.119061 0.603241 1.492112 2.895971 4.837153 7.269096 10.412828
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.094113 0.562089 1.460988 2.908024 4.930331 7.480773 10.792932
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.066840 0.504775 1.397646 2.869557 4.953415 7.602435 11.061483
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.063391 0.514447 1.450014 3.002501 5.208182 8.018065 11.692539
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060496 0.525150 1.504105 3.138186 5.467058 8.439490 12.331548
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.059165 0.540591 1.566730 3.286976 5.744235 8.884840 13.000943
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.059911 0.563043 1.642210 3.455545 6.048925 9.365931 13.715392
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.053521 0.559466 1.670029 3.551828 6.254928 9.721350 14.274835